Swallows FC vs Mbombela United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TSG
1 - 2
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 1
FRE
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
JDR
1 - 2
SWA
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 1
CPU
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mbombela United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MBO
1 - 0
MPU
10%
18%
73%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MBO
0 - 1
TSS
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TSG
1 - 1
MBO
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
MBO
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
MBO
0 - 0
TSG
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |