Swallows FC vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GOL
1 - 1
SWA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
CHI
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SWA
0 - 0
TSG
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 2
SWA
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BLO
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
SSU
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 1
MAR
32%
30%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
MPU
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |