Swallows FC vs Maritzburg United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SSU
1 - 2
SWA
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 0
SWA
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 2
MPU
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
SWA
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 0
PRE
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Maritzburg United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
MPU
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAR
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
PRE
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
POL
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |