Swallows FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis

Swallows FC Mamelodi Sundowns
63 ELO 74
-8.4% Tilt -13.7%
1406º General ELO ranking 895º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.2%
Swallows FC
28.9%
Draw
43.9%
Mamelodi Sundowns

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
Swallows FC
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
43.9%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swallows FC
-14%
+20%
Mamelodi Sundowns

ELO progression

Swallows FC
Mamelodi Sundowns
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swallows FC
Swallows FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2022
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 1
Royal AM
RKF
35%
26%
39%
65 68 3 0
06 Mar. 2022
RKF
Royal AM
1 - 0
Swallows FC
SWA
47%
28%
26%
65 68 3 0
26 Feb. 2022
SUF
Sekhukhune United FC
0 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
43%
29%
28%
64 64 0 +1
19 Feb. 2022
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 1
TS Galaxy
TSG
49%
27%
24%
64 61 3 0
16 Feb. 2022
SFC
Stellenbosch FC
1 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
45%
29%
26%
64 68 4 0

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2022
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 - 0
Al-Merreikh SC
ALM
85%
11%
4%
74 40 34 0
19 Mar. 2022
ALH
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 - 4
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
12%
21%
68%
74 42 32 0
12 Mar. 2022
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
39%
25%
36%
73 76 3 +1
08 Mar. 2022
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
6 - 0
Mathaithai
MFC
86%
10%
3%
73 11 62 0
05 Mar. 2022
MAR
Durban City
2 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
29%
29%
42%
74 65 9 -1