Swallows FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
SWA
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 2
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PLS
0 - 0
SWA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SWA
4 - 1
BLA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
COS
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
SUN
28%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SSU
1 - 3
SUN
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SUN
0 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |