Swallows FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BID
1 - 3
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
SSU
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 0
COS
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 1
SWA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
FRE
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 1
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 1
BLO
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PIR
0 - 0
SUN
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 3
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BID
2 - 3
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |