Swallows FC vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MPU
5 - 2
SWA
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
PIR
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
1 - 1
BLO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SWA
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SWA
4 - 3
MBO
79%
13%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GOL
1 - 2
MPU
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 4
PRE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GOL
1 - 0
POL
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 1
GOL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GOL
3 - 2
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |