Swallows FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
SWA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BID
2 - 1
SWA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
SWA
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
AJA
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
FRE
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 3
MPU
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
PRE
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
SSU
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |