Swallows FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWA
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 4
AMA
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BID
0 - 0
SWA
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 3
SSU
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
SWA
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
FRE
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
COS
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |