Swallows FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PLS
2 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SWA
3 - 1
BID
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 1
AMA
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
BLO
4 - 1
SWA
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 0
PLS
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SUN
0 - 0
FRE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
FRE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |