Swallows FC vs AmaZulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SWA
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
PLS
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 5
SWA
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 2
GOL
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BLO
1 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AmaZulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
MUD
6%
17%
77%
|
65 | 94 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 2
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 0
COS
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SSU
3 - 0
AMA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |