Mornar vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 0
BER
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BER
1 - 2
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 1
MOR
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
JEZ
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 0
SAR
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZET
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 0
JJK
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
JJK
3 - 2
ZET
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 2
PYU
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |