Mornar vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BUD
4 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
MOG
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 0
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
LOV
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRB
2 - 0
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 1
PET
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GRB
0 - 2
ZET
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 0
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RUD
2 - 4
ZET
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 0
BER
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |