Mornar vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 1
MOR
52%
28%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
57%
25%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SUT
24%
29%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 2
MOR
54%
27%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
PET
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
3 - 1
MOG
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 4
MOG
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SUT
24%
29%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 1
ZET
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 0
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |