Mornar vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 2
MOR
54%
27%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
PET
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
MLA
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
20%
27%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 1
ZET
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 0
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 2
BUD
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
SUT
1 - 2
RUD
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
RUD
3 - 0
SUT
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |