Mornar vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOK
2 - 0
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JEZ
2 - 2
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 0
FKA
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 1
MOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
BUD
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
DEC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOK
0 - 1
PET
43%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
JED
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
PET
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
JEZ
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |