Mornar vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 1
MOR
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
BUD
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
MOR
34%
29%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
JED
0 - 1
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 3
JED
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 1
PET
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
JED
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
PET
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
GRB
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
SUT
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |