Mornar vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
3 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
JED
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
SUT
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
RUD
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 2
PET
45%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
DEC
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JED
0 - 1
PET
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |