Mornar vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DEC
2 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IKD
2 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
GRB
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
BUD
21%
28%
51%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PET
1 - 1
MLA
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LOV
1 - 0
PET
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PET
0 - 4
SUT
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RUD
3 - 2
PET
59%
25%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PET
2 - 4
IKD
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |