Mornar vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
MLA
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
20%
27%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRB
1 - 0
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
BUD
21%
27%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 0
ZET
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
PET
2 - 0
BUD
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
GRB
1 - 2
PET
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PET
0 - 2
BUD
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
BUD
0 - 0
PET
66%
19%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |