Mornar vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
FKC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
KOM
0 - 2
MOR
52%
27%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MOG
4 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FKC
1 - 3
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
PET
4 - 0
FKD
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PET
0 - 4
RUD
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
BER
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FKD
0 - 3
PET
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DEC
0 - 0
PET
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |