Mornar vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RUD
4 - 3
MOR
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
MLA
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
BUD
3 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
SUT
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 5
LOV
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 3
BOK
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZET
5 - 0
MOG
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
MOG
32%
24%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 0
RUD
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PET
2 - 0
MOG
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |