Mornar vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ZET
0 - 0
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
PET
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
JED
2 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LOV
2 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
SUT
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 2
SUT
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BUD
1 - 2
MOG
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 1
FKC
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RUD
3 - 2
MOG
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 1
GRB
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |