Mornar vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
BUD
1 - 0
MOR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
IKD
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOK
2 - 0
MOR
62%
24%
15%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
ZET
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SUT
0 - 1
MOR
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOV
2 - 2
IKD
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZET
2 - 0
LOV
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
LOV
1 - 1
BUD
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LOV
1 - 0
PET
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MLA
1 - 0
LOV
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |