Mornar vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
RUD
3 - 0
MOR
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
GRB
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
BOK
0 - 1
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LOV
2 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOV
0 - 2
RUD
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GRB
1 - 1
LOV
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
LOV
1 - 0
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ZET
2 - 3
LOV
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |