Mornar vs Jezero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
MOR
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 7
MOR
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
KOM
54%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RDB
0 - 0
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
OUL
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JEZ
3 - 2
GRA
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KOM
3 - 0
JEZ
54%
26%
19%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
JEZ
0 - 0
RDB
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OUL
1 - 0
JEZ
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JEZ
0 - 1
FKC
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |