Mornar vs Jedinstvo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
10º
8º
47
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
SUT
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEC
26%
28%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BUD
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jedinstvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JED
2 - 1
PET
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JED
3 - 1
KOL
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
JED
0 - 4
SUT
23%
28%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JED
0 - 0
RUD
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |