Mornar vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FKC
0 - 3
MOR
12%
22%
66%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 0
MOR
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
MLJ
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
IGA
0 - 1
MOR
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
IGA
1 - 0
BER
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MLJ
5 - 0
IGA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FKC
1 - 0
IGA
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
IGA
0 - 0
BER
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
IGA
0 - 1
MOR
27%
28%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |