Mornar vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MLA
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 2
MOG
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
3 - 1
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
LOV
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FKC
2 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
GRB
3 - 1
ZET
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RUD
1 - 1
GRB
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DEC
0 - 1
GRB
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GRB
1 - 3
MLA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 1
GRB
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |