Mornar vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
MLA
3 - 3
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
MOG
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ZET
0 - 0
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
PET
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
JED
2 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRB
1 - 1
SUT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BUD
1 - 4
GRB
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GRB
2 - 3
FKC
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 2
GRB
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FKC
2 - 0
GRB
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |