Mornar vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 1
MOR
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
LOV
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ZET
3 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
BAR
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MLA
0 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
LOV
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRB
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
5 - 0
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
GRB
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
BUD
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |