Mornar vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
MLA
24%
25%
52%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
JEZ
1 - 0
MOR
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
LOV
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 0
IBA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MLJ
2 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OUL
0 - 0
FKC
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOK
3 - 1
OUL
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JED
0 - 5
OUL
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
OUL
6 - 1
FKC
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OUL
3 - 1
BER
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |