Mornar vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FKC
0 - 0
MOR
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 1
MOR
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 1
GRB
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RUD
0 - 1
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
LOV
32%
29%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OUL
3 - 1
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
OUL
0 - 4
BOK
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FKC
5 - 0
OUL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
OUL
1 - 3
BER
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
OUL
2 - 2
IKD
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |