Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 1
MOR
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
SUT
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
MOR
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 5
FCK
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 2
FKA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
JEZ
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
FKA
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 6
ALA
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 1
FKA
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |