Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
10º
8º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
4 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
RUD
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
IKD
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
FKA
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
JEZ
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
FKA
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
FKA
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 2
FKA
61%
22%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |