Mornar vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
10º
8º
50
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
ZBE
2 - 0
MOR
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
VOZ
3 - 0
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 3
MOR
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
DEC
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
DNM
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
DNM
1 - 1
DEC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
JAV
3 - 2
DEC
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MLA
0 - 3
DEC
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
NPA
2 - 0
DEC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |