Mornar vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 0
MOR
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
LOV
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
PET
1 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ZET
0 - 0
DEC
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
MLA
0 - 0
DEC
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 0
GRB
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 2
DEC
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
DEC
1 - 0
RUD
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |