Mornar vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
31%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GRB
3 - 1
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
LOV
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MOG
0 - 0
MOR
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BUD
4 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 3
PET
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BER
1 - 1
DEC
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DEC
1 - 0
SUT
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
KOM
1 - 0
DEC
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GRB
1 - 0
DEC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |