Liga Montenegro - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 4-0
Mornar vs FK Berane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
BUD
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 1
MOR
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
MOR
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
JEZ
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JED
3 - 1
MOR
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Berane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 1
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BOK
1 - 0
BER
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
FKM
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
KOM
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |