Mornar vs Bar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 0
MOR
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
LOV
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
PET
1 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 5
MOG
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZET
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GRB
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
BUD
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RUD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
DEC
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |