Mori Santo Stefano vs Atletico Castegnato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
18º
18º
33
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mori Santo Stefano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ADB
1 - 1
MSS
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SDA
0 - 0
MSS
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MSS
0 - 1
CAM
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MSS
2 - 0
POR
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +5 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 1
MSS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Castegnato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CLO
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 3
CAS
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 3
USB
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
SDA
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |