Moreton City Excelsior vs SC Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
29
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RED
0 - 2
MOR
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 0
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 2
EAS
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 2
MOR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROC
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 2
EAS
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
ROC
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 2
OLY
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 1
QUE
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |