Moreton City Excelsior vs Rochedale Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
30
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
OLY
33%
21%
46%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 1
LOG
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRI
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
GOL
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GCK
0 - 2
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 1
EAS
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 2
GOL
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 2
BRI
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 4
GOL
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |