Moreton City Excelsior vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
26
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
GOL
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 4
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
GCK
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
OLY
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
GCK
3 - 0
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
EAS
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
ROC
3 - 1
RED
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
OLY
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RED
2 - 2
QUE
12%
15%
73%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |