Moreton City Excelsior vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
26
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
GOL
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 4
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
GCK
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
OLY
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
GCK
3 - 0
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
EAS
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
ROC
3 - 1
RED
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
OLY
40%
21%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RED
2 - 2
QUE
12%
15%
73%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |