Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
2º
42
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
BRI
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 5
MOR
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
BRR
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
MOR
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QUE
6 - 0
BRI
71%
16%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
BRR
86%
10%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 2
QUE
23%
21%
57%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 2
ROC
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
QUE
40%
22%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |