Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
MOR
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUN
36%
21%
43%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
9 - 0
CAP
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
4 - 3
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BRR
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
QUE
8 - 0
CAP
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 1
OLY
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 4
QUE
9%
14%
77%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GOL
3 - 3
QUE
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 0
BRR
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |