Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
MOR
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 6
MOR
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 2
MOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAG
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 4
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 3
OLY
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GOL
0 - 4
QUE
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
QUE
5 - 1
RED
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
QUE
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
BRR
80%
13%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |