Moreton City Excelsior vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
63.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 3
MOR
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
PEN
52%
22%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GCK
2 - 5
MOR
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAM
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
6 - 3
WYN
78%
14%
9%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SOR
0 - 3
PER
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PER
5 - 4
MCI
22%
21%
58%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 4
PER
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 4
PER
11%
15%
74%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
7 - 1
PER
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |