Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
PAL
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SWQ
1 - 2
MOR
18%
19%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
7 - 1
SUN
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 2
BRO
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
PAL
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 1
WES
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 3
PAL
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 1
WES
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
4 - 0
BRR
90%
8%
3%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |