Moreton City Excelsior vs Olympic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
19
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
QUE
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
MOR
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
BRR
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 2
MOR
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUN
51%
20%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 3
OLY
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GCK
3 - 0
OLY
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
OLY
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
GOL
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
OLY
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |